Today is the seven-year anniversary of the signing of the ACA, and we spent it with our eyes glued on the House, waiting for a vote to repeal the law. It looks like the vote is delayed, so too soon to call if it’s lucky number seven for the Republicans or the Democrats.
Meanwhile, there’s no question that the ACA has had a big impact on the US healthcare system -- particularly for the relatively small segment of the pre-65 population that doesn’t have access to care through an employer-sponsored plan. Many millions of people have gained insurance because of the law, which was its primary goal.
But the ACA has had an impact on employers, too, and it’s less clear what that has accomplished in that arena. A look at our survey data is a reminder of the hoops we’ve jumped through since the law was passed. Two big ones:
- In 2013, nearly one-third of employers did not offer coverage to all employees working 30+ hours per week. By 2016, virtually all of them had taken steps to make the offer of coverage to their formerly part-time workers, and all employers were tracking and reporting employee hours to demonstrate compliance. At the end of the day, all this administrative effort appears to have resulted in little benefit -- enrollment levels overall barely budged.
- Administrative burden is one thing -- the Cadillac tax is another. We can’t say it enough: the tax is not an effective method of penalizing rich plans because plan design is only one factor affecting plan cost and often less important than location and plan-member demographics. We initially projected that 33% of employers were at risk of being taxed in the first year, a number that would increase every year as benefit cost rose faster than the threshold amounts. Many employers responded by implementing and steering employees into consumer-directed health plans. While such a move might have been a sound strategy in any case, unfortunately about a third of employers have said they have made changes they would not have made in the absence of the tax, such as unbundling medical and dental/vision coverage, raising deductibles and other cost-sharing provisions, and eliminating healthcare FSAs.
Yet all along, employers have continually reaffirmed their commitment to offering health insurance. In 2010, just 6% of large employers said they were likely to terminate coverage within five years. By 2016, that already small number had shrunk to just 2%. In other words, the vast majority of employers really didn’t need a law to get them to offer coverage.
Whenever the vote and whatever the result, we’ll continue working with employers and policymakers on making a better, more efficient healthcare system for all.